• Are they experts? Self-assessed backcountry skills among backcountry skiers in Norway and North America 

      Mannberg, Andrea; Hendrikx, Jordy; Johnson, Jerry (Conference object; Konferansebidrag, 2018)
      We analyze how backcountry skiers’ perceived ability to manage avalanche terrain correlate with more objective measures of experience and skills, among 1209 backcountry riders in Norway and North America. We further analyze if self-assessed backcountry skills are affected by past experience of avalanches and close calls, risk attitudes, and demographics. Our results suggest that self-assessed skill ...
    • Can big data and random forests improve avalanche runout estimation compared to simple linear regression? 

      Toft, Håvard B.; Müller, Karsten; Hendrikx, Jordy; Jaedicke, Christian; Bühler, Yves (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2023-04-05)
      Accurate prediction of snow avalanche runout-distances in a deterministic sense remains a challenge due to the complexity of all the physical properties involved. Therefore, in many locations including Norway, it has been common practice to define the runout distance using the angle from the starting point to the end of the runout zone (α-angle). We use a large dataset of avalanche events from ...
    • Characterizing vegetation and return periods in avalanche paths using lidar and aerial imagery 

      Peitzsch, Erich H.; Martin-Mikle, Chelsea; Hendrikx, Jordy; Birkeland, Karl; Fagre, Daniel (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2024-04-14)
      Snow avalanches are a hazard and ecological disturbance across mountain landscapes worldwide. Understanding how avalanche frequency affects forests and vegetation improves infrastructure planning, risk management, and avalanche forecasting. We implemented a novel approach using lidar, aerial imagery, and a random forest model to classify imagery-observed vegetation within avalanche paths in southern ...
    • Colours and maps for communicating natural hazards to users with and without colour vision deficiency 

      Engeset, Rune Verpe; Pfuhl, Gerit; Orten, Camilla; Hendrikx, Jordy; Hetland, Audun (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2022-05-14)
      Natural hazards are often communicated visually using colours and maps. However, users' ability to read and understand these products may be hampered by e.g., colour vision deficiency, potentially rendering the products less effective or even counter effective. To study these effects, we conducted two web-based surveys and analysed how to improve visual communication of avalanches, floods, landslides, ...
    • Developing nationwide avalanche terrain maps for Norway 

      Larsen, Håvard Toft; Hendrikx, Jordy; Slåtten, Martine Sagen; Engeset, Rune (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-06-12)
      Snow avalanches are a significant natural hazard in Norway. One method to manage the backcountry avalanche hazard is through detailed mapping of avalanche terrain. Avalanche terrain can be mapped using a variety of methods, including using the Avalanche Terrain Exposure Scale (ATES); however, manual classification of terrain using ATES is time consuming. This study has developed and compared a fully ...
    • Keeping up with Jeremy Jones: Positional preferences and risky terrain choices 

      Mannberg, Andrea; Hendrikx, Jordy; Johnson, Jerry (Conference object; Konferansebidrag, 2018-10-07)
      We use results from an online survey distributed in North America (N = 796), to analyze if backcountry riders’ level of contentment is affected by others’ backcountry activities, i.e., if they are positional, and if positionality for backcountry experiences is associated with increased risk-taking behavior. Our findings suggest that many are positional, and that positional preferences for challenging ...
    • Powder Fever and Its Impact on Decision-Making in Avalanche Terrain 

      Mannberg, Andrea; Hetland, Audun; Hendrikx, Jordy; Johnson, Jerry (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2021-09-09)
      We examined the effect of emotions, associated with “powder fever”, on decision-making in avalanche terrain. Background: Skiing in avalanche terrain is a voluntary activity that exposes the participant to potentially fatal risk. Impaired decision-making in this context can therefore have devastating results, often with limited prior corrective feedback and learning opportunities. Previous research ...
    • Powder fever and its impact on decision-making in avalanche terrain 

      Mannberg, Andrea; Hendrikx, Jordy; Johnson, Jerry; Hetland, Audun (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2021-09-09)
      We examined the effect of emotions, associated with “powder fever”, on decision-making in avalanche terrain. Background: Skiing in avalanche terrain is a voluntary activity that exposes the participant to potentially fatal risk. Impaired decision-making in this context can therefore have devastating results, often with limited prior corrective feedback and learning opportunities. Previous research ...
    • Quantifying short-term changes in snow strength due to increasing liquid water content above hydraulic barriers 

      Schlumpf, Mikael; Hendrikx, Jordy; Stormont, John C.; Webb, Ryan (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2023-10-31)
      The rapid weakening of snow layers that accumulate infiltrating liquid water is a well-known, but poorly quantified, mechanism for wet-snow slab avalanche formation. Therefore, quantifying this mechanical process is a crucial part of forecasting these snow avalanches accurately. Currently, studies do not agree on how snow strength should change as a function of volumetric liquid water content ( ) ...
    • Rethinking the Heuristic Traps Paradigm in Avalanche Education: Past, Present and Future 

      Johnson, Jerry; Mannberg, Andrea; Hendrikx, Jordy; Hetland, Audun; Stephensen, Matthew (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-08-27)
      This paper will review the emergence and adoption of decision heuristics as a conceptual framework within the avalanche research and education community and demonstrate how this emphasis on the heuristic decision framework has anchored and was critical in redefining the discussion around avalanche accidents. This paradigm has been a critical and meaningful step in recognizing the importance of ...
    • Risky positioning–social aspirations and risk-taking behaviour in avalanche terrain 

      Mannberg, Andrea; Hendrikx, Jordy; Johnson, Jerry (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-10-09)
      We test if positionality, i.e., the desire to gain social status, is associated with an increased willingness to take risk among backcountry riders. If positional preferences drive risk-taking behaviour in avalanche terrain, this is especially problematic because the stakes are high and can be fatal. Our analysis is based on data for hypothetical choices from an online survey (N = 648) in North ...
    • Satellite detection of snow avalanches using Sentinel-1 in a transitional snow climate 

      Keskinen, Zachary; Hendrikx, Jordy; Eckerstorfer, Markus; Birkeland, Karl (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2022-04-18)
      Snow avalanches endanger lives and infrastructure in mountainous regions worldwide. Consistent and accurate datasets of avalanche events are critical for improving hazard forecasting and understanding the spatial and temporal patterns of avalanche activity. Remote sensing-based identification of avalanche debris allow for the acquisition of continuous and spatially consistent avalanches datasets. ...
    • Should I Judge Safety or Danger? Perceived Risk Depends on the Question Frame 

      Stephensen, Matthew; Schulze, Christin; Landrø, Markus; Hendrikx, Jordy; Hetland, Audun (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-04-29)
      Linguistic polarity is a natural characteristic of judgments: Is that situation safe/dangerous? How difficult/easy was the task? Is that politician honest/dishonest? Across six studies (<i>N</i> = 1599), we tested how the qualitative frame of the question eliciting a risk judgment influenced risk perception and behavior intention. Using a series of hypothetical scenarios of skiing in avalanche ...
    • Tracking decision-making of backcountry users using GPS tracks and participant surveys 

      Hendrikx, Jordy; Johnson, Jerry; Mannberg, Andrea (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2022-06-03)
      Snow avalanches are a significant natural hazard representing the primary risk of death to backcountry travelers in many alpine countries. Careful use of backcountry terrain through effective decision making can mitigate the risk of dangerous snowpack conditions, but requires relevant knowledge and experience. We present the results from a large-scale crowd sourced data collection method from ...
    • Who's at risk in the backcountry? Effects of individual characteristics on hypothetical terrain choices 

      Mannberg, Andrea; Hendrikx, Jordy; Landrø, Markus; Ahrland Stefan, Martin (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2018-08-18)
      We use data from an online survey in Norway (N = 467, 73% male; age: M = 34, SD = 10.07) to analyze hypothetical choices in hazardous avalanche terrain. We further analyze differences in stated preference for and willingness to accept to ski relatively risky terrain. Our results suggest that risk attitudes and perception constitute important determinants for hypothetical terrain choices. We further ...